Gridiron Edge – College Football

Power ratings, matchup analysis, spreads, totals, and results evaluation—active 2026 season work, not a claimed betting edge.

What It Does

Gridiron Edge – CFB ingests schedule, odds, and results to compute power ratings and model spreads/totals. It compares model lines vs market and surfaces matchup context so you can see where the model and the board disagree.

The app also evaluates results after the fact—week review and season review—so you can check how projections held up. That is research and bookkeeping, not a validated betting edge.

Current focus is 2026 season readiness: ratings, matchups, spreads/totals, and honest results tracking. If the model can't beat the closing line over a season, it's not an edge—it's noise.

Core Screens / Features

Current Week Slate

See all games with market spread/total vs model spread/total and matchup context.

Game Matchup Detail

Deep dive into a single game: power ratings, home-field advantage, totals analysis, and model vs market view.

Week Review & Season Review

Review how the model did vs the closing line and final score, plus season-long results evaluation.

Under the hood

Gridiron Edge runs a multi-model setup: a Balanced Composite power rating (V1), a unit matchup model (V2), and a Hybrid blend. V1 looks at talent, efficiency, scoring, and results. V2 grades run and pass units head-to-head. The Hybrid model leans on the composite and layers in matchup context so projections don't blow up every time one team has a weird box score.

  • V1 Balanced Composite – 25% talent, 25% efficiency, 25% scoring, 25% results
  • V2 Matchup model – run/pass and explosiveness matchups at the unit level
  • Hybrid model – weighted blend of V1 and V2 for more stable edges
  • Inputs from CFBD, odds feeds, and weather data for context

Who It's For

This is for serious hobbyists and aspirational quants who want to track whether their approach actually beats the market, not just complain about bad beats on Sunday.

Data Sources

  • Odds APIs – For spreads/totals/ML (Odds API, sportsgameodds.com)
  • CFBD – For schedules/results (CollegeFootballData)
  • Weather – For context/future modeling (OpenWeatherMap, Visual Crossing)