Gridiron Edge – College Football
Power ratings, spreads, totals, and result tracking for the sickos who bet Wednesday MACtion.
What It Does
Gridiron Edge – CFB ingests schedule, odds, and results to compute power ratings and model spreads/totals. It compares model lines vs market and surfaces ATS/OU "edges" that might actually mean something.
The app tracks PnL using a synthetic "Official $100 Flat" strategy (and others later), so you can see if the model is actually beating the market or just making pretty charts.
Everything is built to test strategies, not just vibes. If the model can't beat the closing line over a season, it's not an edge—it's noise.
Core Screens / Features
Current Week Slate
See all games with market spread/total vs model spread/total, ATS edges, and model confidence.
Game Matchup Detail
Deep dive into a single game: power ratings, home-field advantage, ATS & totals analysis, model vs market view, and betting ticket style summary.
Week Review & Season Review
Review how the model did vs the closing line and final score, plus see PnL and ROI over the season for a given strategy tag like official_flat_100.
Under the hood
Gridiron Edge runs a multi-model setup: a Balanced Composite power rating (V1), a unit matchup model (V2), and a Hybrid blend. V1 looks at talent, efficiency, scoring, and results. V2 grades run and pass units head-to-head. The Hybrid model leans on the composite and layers in matchup context so projections don't blow up every time one team has a weird box score.
- V1 Balanced Composite – 25% talent, 25% efficiency, 25% scoring, 25% results
- V2 Matchup model – run/pass and explosiveness matchups at the unit level
- Hybrid model – weighted blend of V1 and V2 for more stable edges
- Inputs from CFBD, odds feeds, and weather data for context
Who It's For
This is for serious hobbyists and aspirational quants who want to track whether their approach actually beats the market, not just complain about bad beats on Sunday.
Data Sources
- Odds APIs – For spreads/totals/ML (Odds API, sportsgameodds.com)
- CFBD – For schedules/results (CollegeFootballData)
- Weather – For context/future modeling (OpenWeatherMap, Visual Crossing)